No way Labor comes 3rd. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Melbourne Ports) Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Asher Cookson Candidate for Aston John Barnes Federal Candidate for Ballarat Matthew Kirwan Federal Candidate for Bruce 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . If reelected, I will continue to work closely with our partners to build upon the successes of the past fouryears. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. The top two issues in the community I represent are affordable housing and homeless social issues. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. Visiting Station Pierpage. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. 1. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. So lets look at Absent votes first. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. This will be the last seat to be called I think. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. Continue moving West Melbourne toward independence by building a potable water facility. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. ReD Being second to Labour merely guarantees a Labour win. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. But that so far the postals have been better for Labor than the model projects so they are most likely to retain. Inner south of Melbourne. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. [1] It also had a large gay and lesbian community. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. Support local journalism. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. In 3CP terms, it means Dec Prepolls are breaking 33.1% LIB, 30.6% ALP, 36.3% GRN. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Tony Penna, SRA President will be the moderator. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. It is important to maintain our roads before they become a costly problem. CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. Daniel, the biggest problem for Labor at the moment is that their margin vs Liberals on how the current votes are breaking is smaller than the advantage the Liberals are getting over Labor on minor preferences. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: What a fascinating race this has turned into. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. It might be close but hard to see. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. Further, I will continueto support the creation of a West Melbourne Fire Department. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. Green was also very careful about Brisbane, which shows just how close some of these races have been. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. ALP 29,152 3. Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. It includes vmost of the City of Melbourne north of the Yarra, almost all of the City of Yarra, and a small slice of Moreland Council. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne city councilwoman since November 2009 and current deputy mayor, Chairman of the Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization since 2019, Member and current vice chair, Brevard County Tourist Development Council since 2018, 2021 president of the Space Coast League of Cities, Board member of the Metropolitan Planning Organization and board member of theMetropolitan Planning Organization Advisory Council, Board member of the Florida League of Cities Land Use and Economic Development, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: I dont have a specific Facebook page for my campaign. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. When this site was originally published, the post-redistribution margin for Macnamara was listed as 6.1%. I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. https://www.tallyroom.com.au/vic2022/albertpark2022/comment-page-1#comment-776581. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, was held on Tuesday, 16th April in the Community Facility at South Melbourne Primary School, 129 Ferrars St, Southbank. The former Labor members are Jim Matthews 1906-1931, E.J.Holloway 1931-1951, Frank Crean 1951-1977, Clyde Holding 1977-1998 and Michael Danby 1998-2019. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. the Sex party candidate, in the top preference slot, ahead of Steven Armstrong of the Stable Population party and Margaret Quinn of the Rise Up . (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? While Macnamara is mentioned as a possible Green gain, the playing field from which the Greens might emerge as victors differs greatly from that in traditional Labor seats north of the Yarra. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. Occupation: Founder and owner of Plastics & Paper Direct, Education: Attended Brevard Community College, Political/government/civic experience:2003-04 Melbourne Zoning Board of Adjustment;2004-05 Melbourne Airport Authority;Space Coast League of Cities representative to Space Coast Transportation Planning Organization;2004-12 Melbourne Council Member District2 (vice mayor in 2006 and2010);2013 Brevard CountyCitizens Advisory Board;2018-22 Melbourne City Council Member District 2, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: Website under construction. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. The last batch of postal votes broke 26.7% LIB, 28.5% ALP, 33.2% GRN, 11.6% Other. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. Here is a rundown of the candidates, based on answers to questionnaires from FLORIDA TODAY. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. Election results in Macnamara at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. He represented workers and their unions while a partner at Slater and Gordon, holding a position with the firm previously held by Julia Gillard. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. Harkin moved into IT, in business development and project management and then started her own small business developing bespoke databases and digital widgets. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Elected Councillors were sworn in at a Special Council Meeting held on 11 November 2020. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. If that happens, they win. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Thats extraordinary, quite possibly the closest 3 way 3CP count ever, and I think a full 3CP recount if its that close is a very likely possibility. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. Its a nailbiter and is shaping up for all 3 to be over 33% in the 3PP count (would that be the closest 3PP count ever? I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. Redistribution Macnamara lost Windsor to Higgins. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. 0:36. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. Labor 32.94% 2. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. The successful candidates were: Canal Ward Tim Baxter (Deputy Mayor) Rhonda Clark Louise Crawford Gateway Ward Heather Cunsolo Peter Martin Marcus Pearl (Mayor) Lake Ward Andrew Bond Katherine Copsey Christina Sirakoff Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. . Subscribe today. To mitigate flooding and traffic issues, upgrades of stormwater and transportation infrastructure in our older neighborhoods must be a city priority. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. The electorate was created at the time of Australian Federation in 1901 and was one of the original 65 divisions contested at the first federal election. She recently resigned from the office of Senator Hon Jane Hume. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. What are the top two to three issues in Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Originally, it was anchored in the industrial suburbs in the west of the electorate, which are part of Labor's heartland in west Melbourne. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote.